Thursday, December 24, 2009

The Senate Health Care Bill- Not as bad as you think?

I've been trying to wrap my brain around H.R. 3590, the "Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act" that the Senate just passed. I haven't had the chance to curl up with all 2074 pages so I'm basing my take on what's been reported in the news. Now the AM talk-radio hosts have been yelling about this one for months, but I'm starting to smell a rat. I agreed with Rush, Boortz and Cain that the House bill was a train-wreck. The stated goal of the "public option" in that bill was to cripple the private insurance industry and facilitate the government takeover of health care. Don't kid yourself- no private business could compete with a government health care plan that had unlimited tax resources to undercut market rates. But thanks to Lieberman, the public option has been kicked out of the Senate bill, and the House is going to have to follow suit if they want to pass something. So why are the ideologues still talking about a government takeover of health-care? Since I'm not a conspiracy theorist, I actually change my mind when the facts change. Unless the AM radio guys want to lose all credibility on this issue they need to deal with the actual bill, not a caricature of it. Here's my analysis of the situation.

Problems with our current health-care system:
  • People who can't get health insurance because they are poor or have pre-existing conditions delay routine medical treatment until they reach a crisis. Then they seek emergency medical care which the hospitals are required by law to provide. The hospitals pass along the high costs of this crisis-care to people who have insurance, inflating their premiums. Not only does this cause pointless suffering, but it's also a really inefficient way to run a health-care system.

  • Some young, healthy people who could afford health insurance forgo it because they think it's unnecessary. The trouble is, the insurance pool needs more healthy people to dilute the costs of those who are older or sicker. Plus, when those uninsured young people have accidents that generate catastrophic medical expenses the hospitals have to treat them, and the costs get passed on to those with insurance.

  • People in the U.S. pay more and get less for their medical care dollars than just about anywhere else in the world. There are many reasons for this, including Doctors that order unnecessary tests and procedures for fear of getting sued, drug companies that get Americans to subsidize R & D for the rest of the world and a medical billing system that is completely opaque. To the last point, insurance is a great thing, but it can hide the true cost of care because people only pay attention to their out-of-pocket expenses, not the total bill. In fact, medical care is probably the only expense where Americans don't find out the cost until after the work is done.

  • Medicare is already adding a huge burden to the federal budget, and the flood of baby-boomers coming down the pike is only going to make matters worse. Without big cuts or tax increases the system will go broke.

Some good things the Senate health care bill does to address the problems:

  • It creates a mandate for people to buy health insurance and for large companies to provide employee plans, with penalties for those who don't comply. This should let insurance companies dilute the costs of medical care among a larger, healthier group of people, and lower insurance rates for everyone. It also creates insurance exchanges for individuals to save money by purchasing coverage at group rates.

  • It subsidizes insurance premiums for poor people, and stops insurance companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing conditions. This seems to be a bad deal for taxpayers who subsidize the poor and insurance companies who have to take on expensive customers. Remember, though, the longer these groups go without routine medical care the more expensive they get. It's a matter of pay a little bit now or a lot more later.

  • It makes high-dollar "cadillac" health-care plans more expensive. They will still be available, but their price will reflect more of the plans' real impact on the health-care system.

  • The bill creates a firewall between taxpayer dollars and the funding of abortions. This provision doesn't really address any problems with the system, but it's a good idea if you don't want millions of people becoming tax-protesters. It's also the right thing morally IMO.

Problems with the Senate bill:

  • Even proponents of the bill estimate that after passage, 24 million people under 65 will remain uninsured, including 8 million illegal immigrants. That's still a LOT of unreimbursed emergency room costs that will continue to be passed on to everyone else. Unfortunately, no politician wants to touch the illegal immigration debate.

  • Since penalties for failing to buy health coverage will max out at only $750, many people and businesses will find it cheaper to pay the penalty than get the insurance. That means that even more than the estimated 24 million people may keep resorting to expensive crisis-care. If they don't get the details right on this one, the whole bill will be worthless.

  • The bill doesn't do anything to control medical costs. There's no tort reform to stop defensive medical care. There's no reimportation of drugs from other countries to keep the costs of prescriptions down. Finally, there's nothing to make medical costs more transparent to the consumer, or bring more market-based price pressure into the medical system. Without an additional bill to address these issues, costs will keep going up. By the way, I think the idea of capping doctor's salaries is terrible, and doesn't bring us any closer to a more efficient, market-based system. Do you legislate the salary of that plumber who fixes your leaky pipes? No. You find the cheapest guy who still has a reputation for doing quality work. If Joe the Plumber can earn six figures by working hard, that's his business. Likewise, if there are only a few doctors who spent the years learning some advanced procedure, they are entitled to earning what the market will bear for their services.

  • The bill may not be deficit neutral, in spite of what the Dems say. The Medicare cuts in the bill are not produced by any actual increase in efficiency or decrease in fraud. They are simply written into the bill, as in "Medicare will be cut by X amount." There's a good chance that when seniors turn the heat on the politicians, those cuts will quietly go away.

  • The bill raises some taxes to help pay for the subsidies, which is never a good thing to do in the middle of a recession. Some of the taxes have a narrow scope, like the surcharge on tanning salons. Other taxes hit a much broader slice of the population.

  • Some parts of the bill may be unconstitutional. Forcing some states to subsidize the medicare costs of other states is already being challenged. Also, the whole idea of forcing citizens to buy something from a private company just because they are alive may not pass muster. This is the issue that conservatives have rallied around most to try and kill the bill. I think their effort is misguided, though. I'll leave the constitutional question to the courts, but to me it's a question of paying for what you use. If we lived in a country where some fool who would rather buy an X-box than pay for health insurance was left to die on the street, then I wouldn't have a problem with letting people make their own choice. The fact is, though, when that fool wrecks his car and wracks up millions in medical costs, I pay for it in inflated insurance premiums. You don't like forced responsibility? Then don't ask me to bail you out.

If I had to rate the Senate bill overall, I would give it an "I" for incomplete. If you put aside the paranoia, the basic principle behind the bill is solid. However, if some of the details of the bill aren't fixed, I will have to change my rating from incomplete to incompetent.

Wednesday, December 23, 2009

One more outrage

I was driving home yesterday after posting my list of this year's indefensible government gaffes, when I happened to hear a story on Marketplace that fits right in with my last post. Apparently, 84 percent of the federal clean-energy stimulus subsidies so far have gone to foreign companies. That's right, while 1 in 10 American workers languish in unemployment lines, companies like China's Shenyang Power Group and Spain's Iberdrola will be using American tax dollars to create jobs overseas. The Marketplace reporter interviewed an "expert" who thought helping foreign companies develop green technology was just fine, because it would help them do their part for the environment. Beyond the obvious outrage of borrowing money from China to create Chinese jobs, there's a bigger point that's being missed. If green technology is the wave of the future, and we help foreign companies develop the infrastructure to build it, then we're just relegating future generations to second-class status. All this raises the question: are Obama and the Democrats just short-sighted, or do they actually hate America?

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Biggest government outrages of the year

A lot of ink has been spent hashing out whether the impending health reform bill is the end of civilization as we know it, but here are three under-reported factoids that deserve a little more attention.

1) After Citigroup and other banks repaid $116 billion of the TARP bailout money, Congress decided to turn the money into a slush fund instead of returning it to the treasury.

This epitomizes what is wrong with our big, corrupt government and the clowns who run it. It was bad enough for the Treasury Secretary to scare us into spending $700 billion of borrowed money bailing out companies who ran their business into the ground. Now that the banks are paying us back, we should be paying down our skyrocketing debt. But Congress is acting like they just found a pile of money under the mattress. I guess they forgot that the taxpayers will have to pay it back some day. Pelosi/Reid are defending their actions by saying that the money will be used to create jobs. I contend that the only jobs those bozos know how to create are government jobs. This leads in nicely into item two:

2) Federal workers enjoyed a giant salary increase in the middle of the worst recession of our generation.

19 percent of federal workers earned six figure salaries in '09, compared with 14 percent the year before. The average federal worker now earns about $70,000 a year, compared with around $40,000 for the average private sector worker.

Personally, I'm tired of hearing the phony outrage about the obscene salaries and bonuses that CEO's are making. If you're offended by what a corporation is paying its top executives, don't invest in their stock. Don't buy their products. At least corporations theoretically have to answer to their shareholders for how they compensate their employees. If a business is losing money, everyone has to tighten their belts. Now tell me, who does the government have to answer to when it sets pay for its workers? Whether our government is effective or not, Congress just keeps hiking the federal budget. If they run out of money, they just increase our debt, or raise taxes. If I don't like the job the government is doing, I don't have the option to withhold my money from them. All I can do is vote the spenders out of office. However, since we are on the brink of having the majority of voters get more in government services than what they pay for, I don't think my vote is going to count for much.

3) The federal debt is now $12.2 trillion, and Congress is trying to raise the debt ceiling to $14 trillion.

$12 trillion is a pretty abstract number, so let me put it in context. The government would have to take all the profits of all the Fortune 500 companies for the next 145 years to pay off that debt, not including the new interest costs. We will NEVER, EVER pay off that debt. That's not a problem as long as the world continues buying T-bills. But just remember, they are only interested in keeping us afloat as long as we are the biggest consumers around. Once Europe and the developing nations are able to sustain their economies by buying and selling from each other, they'll dump us. If we continue using the money we're printing to pay off Wall Street and foreign speculators instead of producing real goods and services, we could be in for Zimbabwe-style hyperinflation. So just remember that the next time these spendthrift Democrats tell you about some new plan to pour money into a government black hole.

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Top 25 American outrages

In honor of Obama's first hundred days in office, here's a list of mind-numbing facts about American government and life (and no, I don't think Obama is personally responsible for all of them.)


1) The U.S. tax code is 67,000 pages long, and so complicated that even Treasury Secretary Geithner can't figure it out.

2) 43% of Americans will pay zero or negative federal income taxes in 2009 according to the Brookings Institution.

3) 48% of Americans say the amount of federal income taxes they pay is "about right" according to a recent Gallup poll. (If I were part of the 43% that paid no taxes I guess I would say that it was about right, too. The other 5% that are happy to pay taxes are just stupid.)

4) After promising to eliminate wasteful earmarks, Obama signed a budget bill with 8,600 of them.

5) The top ten earmarking senators brought home $767 million in pork from the budget bill. Six of the top ten earmarkers were Republicans.

6) Obama has pledged to halve the deficit by 2013. That shouldn't be hard to do considering that he started by quadrupling the deficit of his predecessor.

7) High school teachers earned an average of $42,000 in 2008.

8) Joe Cassano, the man behind AIG's losses, earned an average of $35 million a year for 8 years.

9) The AIG bailout cost taxpayers $180 billion.

10) $11 billion of the AIG bailout money has gone to French bank Societe Generale, and $5.4 billion has gone to Germany's Deutsche Bank.

11) Merrill Lynch awarded bonuses of $1,000,000 or more to 696 people at the end of a quarter where it lost $15 billion.

12) Fifteen members of Congress are currently under investigation by ethics committees or law enforcement agencies. (8 Republican, 7 Democrats)

13) William Jefferson, who was caught with $90,000 in his freezer, is using the constitution's "speech or debate clause" to squash his bribery probe. Other corrupt politicians are following his lead.

14) Nancy Pelosi argued that money for birth control in Obama's stimulus bill would boost the economy by creating fewer people for the government to support.

15) Obama burned thousands of gallons of jet fuel to fly to Denver and sign the stimulus bill so he could stand in front of solar panels and preach to America about the virtues of green energy.

16) The government spent $120 million on Obama's inauguration, four years after people complained that Bush's $42 million inauguration was extravagant.

17) After promising to keep lobbyists out of the White House, Obama decided to let them in if they signed a waiver.

18) Former Raytheon lobbyist William Lynn is now Obama's Deputy Secretary of Defense.

19) The Council on American Islamic Relations (CAIR) continues to lobby Congress, even after the FBI declared it a front for HAMAS.

20) The California legislature is planning to ban black cars from the state to help reduce global warming.

21) Attorney General Eric Holder called America "a nation of cowards" because of its record on race relations.

22) The U.S. spent $68 billion on prisons and other correctional costs last year. The Department of Education spent $56 billion.

23) 1 in 31 U.S. adults are in jail, on parole or on probation, according to a recent Pew Center report. Twenty-five years ago, the rate was 1 in 77.

24) Georgia leads the nation with 1 in 13 adults in jail, on parole or on probation.

25) You still can't buy a six-pack of beer in Georgia on a Sunday.

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Homeland Security calls the Deep South an extremist group in new report

I just had to post this:

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Just one month ago, the Missouri Information Analysis Center (MIAC) was criticized for a report that cited supporters of third-party presidential candidates like Texas Rep. Ron Paul, Chuck Baldwin and former Georgia Rep. Bob Barr as potential domestic terrorists. Now, the Department of Homeland Security is defending itself against criticism of a new report that names the South as a “Rightwing extremist group.”

According to the report, all of the states from Texas to the east and Virginia to the south (excluding Florida) fit the profile of an extremist organization.

Some of the hallmarks of extremism mentioned in the report are “antagonism toward an African American president and his perceived stance on a range of issues.” A pattern of southern racism can be clearly seen in the 2008 electoral map, which shows a band of southern states that voted against Barack Obama.

The report also contends that “Rightwing extremism includes groups and individuals that are dedicated to a single issue, such as opposition to abortion.” A recent Gallup poll showed that 52 % of people in the South hold anti-abortion views, compared to 44 % nationally.

The high concentration of military service members in the South is also cited as a major risk factor for extremism. As stated in the DHS report, “The willingness of military personnel to join extremist groups during the 1990s because they were disgruntled, disillusioned, or suffering from the psychological effects of war is being replicated today.”

Homeland Security spokeswoman Amy Kudwa said “We are especially troubled that the South has been growing in numbers,” citing census data that the region has added 1.4 million people in the last year alone. “It is definitely a sign that the south is recruiting.”

As a precaution, all southerners or people who appear to be southerners have been added to the TSA's No- Fly list. “Unfortunately this will cause some inconvenience and delays at airports in the southeast,” a TSA spokesperson at Hartsfield-Jackson airport said on Wednesday. Hartsfield-Jackson is the nation's busiest airport.

In a follow up press release, Janet Napolitano stated that Homeland Security is closely monitoring other red states throughout the U.S. “They have not reached the critical mass of the southeast, but they are still a concern.”

Here are links to some relevant documents:


http://michellemalkin.cachefly.net/michellemalkin.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2009/04/hsa-rightwing-extremism-09-04-07.pdf


http://www.dhs.gov/ynews/releases/pr_1239817562001.shtm

Monday, April 6, 2009

Next stop, the Twilight Zone

Okay, so like most conservatives right now, I feel I'm living in an Orwellian nightmare. But in the last few weeks, the absurdity has reached a new level. You've probably heard that many of the same people wringing their hands about the AIG bonuses knew about them back in November. Here are a few issues that are just as mind-numbing, and haven't gotten as much press. I've added links to real news outlets so to prove that I didn't get this stuff from rightwingmilitias.com.

THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
Obama thinks that one big reason for the global economic meltdown is that too much influence was concentrated in the hands of a few US and UK executives, and their poor choices started a domino effect that hurt the world economy. To avoid that risk in the future, his solution is to concentrate all the influence on the world economy into the hands of a few bureaucrats on an international Financial Stability Board.

http://thebulletin.us/articles/2009/04/06/commentary/op-eds/doc49d9b9e9826c9440084179.txt

US LEGAL SOVEREIGNTY
Harold Koh, Obama's nominee for Legal Advisor to the State Department wants to subjugate the US to international legal norms on issues like the death penalty. The morality of decisions made by the Supreme Court would be reviewed by the International Criminal Court in the Netherlands. This makes perfect sense, considering that the Netherlands is also home to that paragon of virtue known as Amsterdam.

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/q=MDBhMDk5NzFkZGIwMDI0ZDM3ZDQzYzBjNTk1ODg0YmQ=

HEALTH CARE
Obama's new budget director Peter Orszag has stated that cutting health care costs is one of the best ways to solve our nation's long-term budget problems. I agree with him. The problem is, his boss Obama's plan to save money is to have the government insure 80 million new people, and use that economy of scale to bring costs down. Remember, this is the same government that paid $436 for a hammer. This is the same government that thinks a budget cut means no new increase in spending. This is the same government that underestimated the cost of the Medicare prescription drug program by 60 percent. They're the ones who can cut health care costs?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A9328-2005Feb8.html

DISARMAMENT
After North Korea used the pretext of launching a satellite to test a long range missile, Obama responded with a call for the US and other superpowers to scrap their nuclear weapons and bring the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty into force. Fewer nukes would make the world a safer place, right?It's similar to the argument that the best way to curb gun violence is to have everyone turn in their firearms. The problem is, the only people who would turn in their guns are the law-abiding citizens, who would then have no way to defend themselves against the criminals who kept their guns. It's sort of like asking the community of nations to disarm. That brilliant plan would only leave the rogue states to have WMD's all to themselves.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/04/05/AR2009040500021.html?hpid=topnews

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Goodnight Bush

In honor of George W. Bush's last day in office I wanted to post a link to one of the best books of 2008, Gan Golan and Erich Origen's Goodnight Bush.

http://www.goodnightbush.com/


Don't let the cute, illustrated style fool you. It's one of the darkest, funniest and most heart-rending books you'll ever read. It makes you realize just how much we've lost over the last eight years.

In 2004, the Democrats thought they had a bulletproof candidate in John Kerry. He was no softy liberal, no goofball politician playing Army in a tank. He was a real war hero who had led men through battle. But Karl Rove turned Kerry's greatest strength into his greatest weakness with help from the Swift Boat Veterans for truth. Kerry went from war hero to war coward overnight. Four years later, Republicans tried again to win by tearing down the opposing candidate. But Barack Obama's brilliance was in turning his biggest potential weakness into his greatest strength. Obama couldn't hide the fact that he had a funny name and looked different from all those old guys on the bills in your wallet. He couldn't help but represent anything but change, and when our society seemed to be sliding off a cliff, change sounded pretty good.

Today, Barack Obama is being sworn in as our 44rd president, and he certainly looks like the man for the job. As lean and grave as Lincoln, his long black coat curling in the cold breeze, he strides with purpose onto the stage of history. You couldn't ask for a better icon in these tough, frightening times. I sincerely hope he lives up to the promise.